aibek burabayev Archives - Page 45 of 59

Freeport-McMoRan Could Double Amid Strong Copper

Posted on July 18, 2016July 18, 2016 by Aibek Burabayev

Copper advanced 15 cents or 7% higher from my previous post and it looks like we are going to see much more strength as it was just a warming-up.

Chart 1. Copper-Oil Weekly: The Metal Tries To Catch Up Consolidating Crude

Chart 1. Copper-Oil Weekly: The Metal Tries To Catch Up Consolidating Crude
Chart courtesy of tradingview.com

The comparative chart above became a tradition. This time, there are no dramatic changes on it and the only drama here is the failure of crude oil to surpass the first strong barrier at the $50 mark (black dashed horizontal line). Oil has been stuck in a $5 range between $45 and $50 levels. We are at a crucial point as soon we will know for sure if it was a strong correction in oil before another huge drop to the $26 low or below or is it a consolidation before the break through $50 and then $60 barriers within a new uptrend. Continue reading "Freeport-McMoRan Could Double Amid Strong Copper" →

Gold/Silver Ratio: Halfway To The Target

Posted on July 15, 2016July 18, 2016 by Aibek Burabayev

In my February post I called for the topping of the ratio as it hit the upside of the long-term range. The idea was to short gold and buy silver simultaneously at the 79 oz level. It's gone very well, and you can see it in the following charts.

Below is the reconstruction of the February chart to refresh your memory.

Chart 1. Gold/Silver Ratio Monthly: Half Of The Range

Gold/Silver Ratio Monthly
Chart courtesy of tradingview.com

I changed the color of my old remarks to black to stress your attention to the new colored annotations. The post-idea ratio dynamics are highlighted with the orange rectangle. Continue reading "Gold/Silver Ratio: Halfway To The Target" →

Silver Has Hit The Target And Marked A New One!

Posted on July 11, 2016July 11, 2016 by Aibek Burabayev

Silver has overshot the target set at the $20 mark in my June post leaving the gold in the dust. The AB/CD concept is simple yet effective as it utilizes perpetual Fibonacci ratios.

Ok, that’s done, but what is next? Let’s look at the charts below. I put the monthly chart first to refresh the global outlook for the soaring metal.

Chart 1. Silver Monthly: The Game Just Started!

Chart courtesy of tradingview.com

The metal has finally shot above the black downtrend, which I was talking about in my March update. It was a vital need for silver to break loose from the multi-year grip to stop the drop. Continue reading "Silver Has Hit The Target And Marked A New One!" →

Pendulum Experiment Result: Success! One More?

Posted on July 5, 2016July 5, 2016 by Aibek Burabayev

Here we are! The experiment came to its final stage - the summary. Almost eight months ago we put two completely different instruments on the starting line in an exciting competition, which should have proved or refuted the assumption of the ‘pendulum effect’. The Japanese Nikkei index was a top performing instrument in November 2015 with +13% gains while Palladium was the top losing metal with -24% losses.

Chart 1. Voting results November 2015: The Majority Bet On The Success Of The Experiment!

Chart 1. INO.com Voting results November 2015

Above is the screenshot of the ballot results for the experiment. Most of you bet on Palladium winning, which means the success of the experiment, and you were absolutely right dear readers!!! Congratulations! And thank you for the support of the experiment! See the chart below for the confirmation. Continue reading "Pendulum Experiment Result: Success! One More?" →

GLD vs. SLV: Investors Favor Less Successful Gold

Posted on June 30, 2016 by Aibek Burabayev

Today I would like to share with you an analysis of precious metals ETFs. The goal of the study is to identify the correlation of price moves in both gold and silver with the demand for their ETF shares, represented by an appropriate precious metals holdings change. Below the chart you will read some interesting findings.

Chart 1. Gold, Silver and ETFs (Q/Q percent change): Silver Rises Without ETF Support

Gold, Silver and ETFs (Q/Q percent change): Silver Rises Without ETF Support
Chart by Aibek Burabayev, data source: spdrgoldshares.com; ishares.com

In the first quarter of the last year, we can see that investors were betting on a bottoming gold price with a 4% rise in SPDR Gold Trust (PACF:GLD) holdings despite the 1% fall in price. It’s interesting that at the same period, investors, on the contrary, cut their silver ETF holdings despite the rising silver price; it looks like they used the ‘sell silver on spike’ approach to gain on metals correlation. It’s amazing! But they were right shorting silver as it fell in three consecutive periods exceeding gold’s losing streak. Continue reading "GLD vs. SLV: Investors Favor Less Successful Gold" →

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