Tag: Crude Oil

Hello traders everywhere!  Adam Hewison here, co-founder of MarketClub with your 1 p.m. market update for Thursday, the 11th of August.

VEG-O-MATIC

Please see our earlier post today!

I think that many of the markets have reached an inflection point.  The equity markets appear to have put in an interim low that was seen last Tuesday.  Crude oil and the Reuters/Jefferies CRB index also appear to be following that trend.

Gold has more than likely put in a top when it traded over $1800.  We don't believe this is the final top, but just in interim top, as a lot of traders got into this market very late.  Silver on the other hand continues to be lackluster compared to gold, and remains on the defensive.  Intermediate term traders should be out of silver and on the sidelines.
So let's go to the 6 major markets we track every day and see how we can create and maintain your wealth in 2011. Continue reading "Where Are The Markets Heading?" →

Hello traders everywhere! Adam Hewison here, co-founder of MarketClub with your 1 p.m. market update for Wednesday, the 10th of August.

We have had an extraordinary admission of failure!

Yesterday, the chairman of the Federal Reserve, Ben Bernanke, acknowledged in what was perhaps the most stunning statement ever by a sitting chairman of the Fed... That the economy was not doing as well as they had predicted.

Duh Ben, welcome to the real world!

In our comments yesterday before the chairman spoke, we hoped that the Fed wouldn't do anything stupid like announce QE3 or that they will be dropping money from helicopters. Instead, the United States has just played its cards out to the world, saying that we are not going to be raising interest rates until.........let me guess 2013, after the elections. Continue reading "An Extraordinary Admission Of Failure!" →

Hello traders everywhere! Adam Hewison here, co-founder of MarketClub with your 1 p.m. market update for Tuesday, the 9th of August.

Will the Fed come to the rescue of the market?

Everything is possible, it just depends on how stupid the Fed wants to be. In the study of economic history and capitalism in America there are periods of maximum euphoria and maximum depression. You almost can't have one without the other, that is one of the ways capitalism works. We've gone through a period of time that we've seen unprecedented euphoria and debt put on America's chalkboard. And we have witnessed millions of Americans faking their way to happiness using credit cards.

As hard as it is for everyone to accept that the good times are over, it is now time for what everyone doesn't want... Economic pain. You may want to look at an earlier posting, that I posted in 2008 on cycles in American capitalism. It holds true now just as it held true 100 years ago.

The next shoe to drop will be interest rates. Interest rates have only one direction to go, and that is to the upside. This a fact of the marketplace and probably more pain than most people want to endure.

The potential for the equity markets to continue to erode and drift lower is very high, in my opinion. To temper that thought I'm going to say up front that I'm a trader, not an investor. Right now, the days of buy and hold are over and will not resume for many years to come.(See 100 years of capitalism). If I am right, the equity trends will remain negative with minor counter trend rallies. We could see the equity markets on the defensive until right before the 2012 elections. Only time will tell... Continue reading "Everything Is Possible" →