Government Sells Low

Adam Feik - INO.com Contributor - Energies


What will oil prices be when the U.S. government begins selling tens of millions of barrels of oil from its Strategic Petroleum Reserve (SPR) in 2018?

The House passed a federal budget on Wednesday – which is reportedly on its way to likely Senate passage and Presidential signature – calling for the government to sell at least 58 million barrels of oil from the SPR over an 8-year period beginning in 2018. The SPR currently holds about 695 million barrels in 4 sites along the Gulf of Mexico coast. Per the budget bill, the U.S. may sell up to an additional $2 billion dollars’ worth of oil from the reserve to build new pipelines and otherwise modernize infrastructure. That program would represent an incremental 43.5 million barrels based on today’s prices, bringing the total number of barrels to be sold up to a possible 101.5 million. At today’s rates, that could add about $4.7 billion into the US Treasury.

Or… Continue reading "Government Sells Low"

Copper Update: Crashing Crude Oil Lures Down Melting Copper

Aibek Burabayev - INO.com Contributor - Metals


In my previous Copper update in September, I proposed readers to cover shorts in Copper ($2.32 level) and to watch Crude Oil for further clues as the “black gold” rocketed for a worrisome $10 in 3 days while Copper was quietly sleeping, unaware in its sideways “bed”. Indeed, the metal started to elevate with a two-day gap following Crude Oil, confirming that the signal was valid, and Copper reached $2.5.

Crude Oil Daily Chart: Bears Have Attacked and Bulls At Halfway

Crude Oil Daily Chart
Chart courtesy of TradingView.com

Let’s start from the leading instrument’s chart above. Last time, I assumed that Crude oil should have reverse down ahead of the downtrend touching a point at $53 and it reversed earlier than I expected – just below $51. This was due to huge selling pressure in the market. Continue reading "Copper Update: Crashing Crude Oil Lures Down Melting Copper"

Ride The Oil Recovery With This Driller

Daniel Cross - INO.com Contributor - Equities


Contrarian plays can often pay off for investors that are willing to weather some short-term volatility. The oil industry has experienced pain for over a year now which began late in the summer of last year as oil prices fell to lows that hadn't been seen in a decade. This weakness has created some value opportunities, though, with oil stocks now trading at discounted prices.

Global growth concerns have weighed heavily on energy demands while a supply glut has kept oil low. However, oil may be facing a bullish cycle over the next quarter with more upside to come for 2016. Demand is growing again and oil supply for next year is estimated to be tighter than previously expected. Since August, oil prices have traded in the $45 to $50 range indicating that it has finally settled and reached a bottom. Continue reading "Ride The Oil Recovery With This Driller"

Year To Date Dynamics: Metals Versus Top Assets

Aibek Burabayev - INO.com Contributor - Metals


Today I prepared for you the year-to-date comparative dynamics of the metals versus the top financial instruments including the Dollar Index, crude oil and the S&P 500 index.

Gold Comparison Chart
Chart courtesy of TradingView.com

As seen in the above graph, half of the instruments started the year on an upbeat tune, lead by Silver and followed by Gold, Platinum and the Dollar Index. The other half started with a nose-diving fall, especially crude oil followed by Copper, Palladium and the S&P 500 bringing up the rear. Continue reading "Year To Date Dynamics: Metals Versus Top Assets"

Copper Update: Crude Oil Signals To Cover Shorts

Aibek Burabayev - INO.com Contributor - Metals


Last month, I published a post about the correlation of the World GDP and Copper prices. I also covered the close correlation of Crude Oil and Copper prices.

Chart 1 Crude Oil weekly: Sharp rebound

NYMEX Crude Oil
Chart courtesy of TradingView.com

As seen in the above weekly chart, Crude Oil bulls attacked the market without a declaration of war and caught sellers unaware. The price quickly grew more than $10 in just three days.

This severe price action on the weekly chart has formed a so-called Bullish Engulfing pattern. That's when the small red bearish candlestick is followed by a large green bullish candlestick that completely eclipses (engulfs) the previous week's candlestick. It means that bulls have taken control of the market and the price has gone lower (or is at the end of the decline). Continue reading "Copper Update: Crude Oil Signals To Cover Shorts"