Three Reasons For The Collapse Of Gold Prices

Many of the gold bugs cannot understand why gold prices keep falling. One would think with all the strife around the world, the financial crisis in Greece, plus the stress and conflict in the Middle East and various other countries that it would be an ideal time for gold prices to go higher. That, my friend, was the old way of thinking, that is not the way the markets really work.

Let's take a look at what's really happening and the three main reasons for the collapse in the price of gold.

(1) We had seen very strong equity markets around the world which gave an opportunity to investors to make money. Remember, gold pays no interest and in fact, you have to pay money to store gold. So in that sense it's a little like holding insurance for a catastrophic event.

(2) Gold has failed to respond to any of the traditional triggers, such as financial unrest and uncertainty. What this signifies is that the perception of gold, at least for the moment, has changed. In any market, perception is perhaps one of the most important elements for dictating price direction. Continue reading "Three Reasons For The Collapse Of Gold Prices"

What Are The Big Trends?

Today, the last trading day of May, I'm going to be looking at where the markets are in comparison to the last trading day of April.

Traders sometimes lose sight of the big picture and big market trends. That's where the monthly charts come in and are so useful.

If you just look at the action today you might think the general market was down for the month. The reality is that it's not down and is higher for the month. At the time of this writing, the S&P 500 index is up 1% for the month. The NASDAQ is doing even better and is up 2.4% for the month of May. The DOW is also positive with a gain of 1.3%. In fact, if you look at the charts, the S&P 500 is going to close at an all time monthly high - if nothing dramatically changes from now until the close. The same holds true for the NASDAQ which will be closing at its best levels ever on a monthly basis. Continue reading "What Are The Big Trends?"

Gold and Silver: Catch The Wave Up

Aibek Burabayev - INO.com Contributor - Metals


Gold

4H Gold Chart
Chart courtesy of Tradingview.com

Last week, the Gold short trade was stopped above $1200. Price immediately broke back above the head and shoulders neckline beyond $1200 and that was it. Stops are a good risk management instrument, they should be set at once and should be tight to protect your capital.

Today I prepared for you a totally new idea with a fresh look. I combined a classic trend model with the Elliott Wave technique and it is shown according to the long-term model posted at the start of this month.

Gold charted a good upside impulse wave 1 (of A) from the March low at $1142 up to the intermediate high at $1224. Then a correction wave 2 emerged and price retraced down to the 50% Fibonacci area at $1184. Usually, the 2nd wave corrects down to 61.8%-99% of the 1st wave, but this time we have had only half of it which means that the market accumulated enough bullish momentum to continue higher. Continue reading "Gold and Silver: Catch The Wave Up"

Gold and Silver: Short "Short" Play

Aibek Burabayev - INO.com Contributor - Metals


Gold

4H Gold Chart
Chart courtesy of Tradingview.com

As seen in the above 4-hour chart, Gold has finished shaping a short term reversal pattern we've seen before, called a Head And Shoulders pattern. This pattern was confirmed on the RSI where the model is even more bearish as consequent lower highs were shaped.

The vertical neckline, highlighted in black, has been broken today below $1197 and this is a good sell signal. The target is the distance from the top of the head to the neckline, subtracted below the neckline. So the market aims for $1159 (highlighted in the red dashed horizontal line), which is $35 down from the current price at $1194. Continue reading "Gold and Silver: Short "Short" Play"

My Secret Formula For Successful Gold Trading

The price of gold is now in its fourth year of a bear market. It is shocking to many gold bugs that gold, a metal revered since ancient times, could fall so dramatically from its all-time high of $1,920.56 on September 4th, of 2011. The precipitous drop of almost $800 in less than four years was more than most gold bugs could stand as stocks soared to new highs. Many threw in the towel when gold hit $1132.05 on November 7th and moved into stocks. This could prove to be a bad omen in the future. Since reaching a low on November 7th, gold has for the most part moved sideways with a slight upward bias.

You can clearly see on the chart that there is a big divergence that shows. When prices were making their lows, momentum was building for the market to bounce.

Now for the good news! Continue reading "My Secret Formula For Successful Gold Trading"