The price of gold is now in its fourth year of a bear market. It is shocking to many gold bugs that gold, a metal revered since ancient times, could fall so dramatically from its all-time high of $1,920.56 on September 4th, of 2011. The precipitous drop of almost $800 in less than four years was more than most gold bugs could stand as stocks soared to new highs. Many threw in the towel when gold hit $1132.05 on November 7th and moved into stocks. This could prove to be a bad omen in the future. Since reaching a low on November 7th, gold has for the most part moved sideways with a slight upward bias.
You can clearly see on the chart that there is a big divergence that shows. When prices were making their lows, momentum was building for the market to bounce.
Last week, we looked at the cyclical nature of gold prices (FOREX:XAUUSDO) and the fact that gold was potentially at a low in time. Today's upturn in prices may be the beginning of an up move that will push gold back up to the $1,380 level.
At the moment, gold seems to have very few friends and sometimes that is the best time to buy this market. After hitting a high of just over $1,900 an ounce in September of 2011, gold has slowly drifted to the downside. I believe that the $1,200 level is an important area of support for this precious metal and should not be overlooked.
You have heard me say many times before on this blog that perception in the market is everything. Right now, the perception is that gold is not going to go anywhere in a hurry. While it may turn out to be true, there are certain clues out there indicating that gold could rally $150-$200 from the most recent lows. I'm sure many of you can recall when gold was trading close to $1900 an ounce, the talk of $2,000 $2,500 was all the rage amongst the traders. Right now with gold on the defensive and people calling for the gold market to go to $1,000 or even $800 an ounce, it's just the reverse situation. Sometimes it's psychologically difficult to turn your thinking around and that's why MarketClub's Trade Triangles do so well by giving you an unbiased opinion of the market. Continue reading "Is This The Move In Gold You Don't Want To Miss?"→
Let's face it, without change, there can be no opportunity. As traders and investors, we need to see change in order to make money.
One potential opportunity in 2014 could be gold. In 2013, gold suffered what was perhaps its worst performance as an asset in decades, losing over 25% of its value for the year. This was the first time that gold had a year-to-year loss that I can remember. So in 2014, the question has to be, what's going on with gold and is it going to redeem itself?
Looking at the chart which begins in July of 2012, you can see that gold hit its high and then basically for the next 15 months moved consecutively lower. This high is not the all-time high that was seen in August of 2011 at $1904, but the most significant high for our chart work. Continue reading "Change = Opportunity = Gold"→
Today, I'm going to analyze the gold market and in particular the spot gold market, which really drives everything in gold trading.
In 2013, gold turned out to be a real loser for the gold bulls, dropping some 20+ percent on the year and the year is not over with. While equities soared, the gold markets swooned and didn't receive any love from anyone. In fact, many of the big players like Soros, John Paulson and other large hedge fund managers began dumping their GLD ETF holdings just recently, as they too have had enough of the yellow metal's antics. All of this weighed heavily on the price of gold.
In today's short educational trading video, I'm going to share with you several technical setups I see in the gold market. Plus, I want to share with you a very simple and successful way to trade this market.
No matter what you think of gold, bull or bear, you will find this video interesting and informative and some might even say, disruptive. I will be analyzing both the macro and micro picture for gold and explain where I see it headed in the next three to six months.
Take a few minutes of your time to learn about two techniques that could really change the way you look at any market.