Is The Gold Rush On?

Today, I'm going to be focusing on gold (FOREX:XAUUSDO). It would appear as though this market had a number of cycles that are coming due and some that have just passed. It also looks as though all of the problems in the world haven't had any real powerful effect on gold. Normally in times of uncertainty, gold has been the go-to asset for most investors, but for some reason, not this time.

With today's strong upward market action, there have been a couple of technical indicators click over to the upside, these indicators are the forerunners of a larger, more extended move to the middle of September. By mid-September, gold could be trading at the $1,420-$1,430 level, if all of the technical indicators line up.

For many traders, gold has been somewhat of a disappointment in 2014, even though it is plus some $70 for the year. Many gold bugs were expecting much higher levels by this time, given all of the uncertainties with the banks and conflicts around the world.

The next 4 to 6 weeks could be very exciting in this precious metal and I expect this excitement to come in the form of a move to the upside. In this detailed video, I will show you exactly where the cycles are, plus the technical indicators that I'm watching closely for further confirming evidence that a bull move is underway.

Every success with MarketClub,
Adam Hewison
President, INO.com
Co-Creator, MarketClub

John Hathaway and Doug Groh: Buy Gold Like It's 1999

The Gold Report: In a 4th of July investor letter, you wrote that the precious metals complex, both mining shares and bullion, appear to be in the process of completing a major bottom, and you're more comfortable with the proposition that the downside potential has been fully exhausted. What are the signs that it's really turning this time?

John Hathaway: The gold futures chart is showing that we are in the process of a reverse head-and-shoulders pattern, which is a sign that a bottom has been completed. It means that downward momentum has been exhausted. This bottom will be confirmed when gold trades above $1,400/ounce ($1,400/oz), which is a stretch from where we are. At least we can say fairly credibly that it's shaping up to be a bottom, but we may test it over the summer.

Source: International Strategy Investment Group LLC

TGR: Are statistics on money flows telling you that investors are starting to get interested again? Continue reading "John Hathaway and Doug Groh: Buy Gold Like It's 1999"

Next Gold Buying Opportunity May Be Just Around the Corner

By: John Kosar of Street Authority

Major U.S. indices closed mixed last week, with the broad-market SP 500 and tech-heavy Nasdaq 100 closing higher and the blue-chip Dow industrials and small-cap Russell 2000 closing lower. The bigger takeaway to last week's lack of direction is that the bellwether SP 500 has been moving sideways for the past month and is essentially unchanged since July 1.

This recent loss of upward momentum suggests some distribution/profit-taking has been occurring and defines a near-term decision point in the index, bordered by 1,986 on the upside and 1,953 on the downside, from which its 2014 advance must resume if still healthy and intact.

Small Caps, Volatility Will Be Key Again This Week
In the July 14 and July 21 Market Outlooks, I pointed out that the Russell 2000 and the Vanguard Small Cap Growth ETF (NYSE: VBK) were situated right on top of major support levels and amid favorable conditions to resume their 2014 advances -- if they were still valid. Following initial rebounds, Friday's sharp decline positioned both back on top of these levels -- 1,143 on the Russell 2000 and $121.53 on VBK. Continue reading "Next Gold Buying Opportunity May Be Just Around the Corner"

The Greatest Risk To Investors Today

By: Jody Chudley of Investing Answers

We've seen this set-up before...

All through 2006 and 2007, I heard some of the smartest minds in the investment game warning about the massive housing bubble that was about to pop. For a long time, these smart folks looked wrong, as housing prices kept going up and up.

Then things changed in a hurry, and we suffered through the worst credit crisis in our country's history and a housing bubble collapse. Anyone that didn't heed the warnings got crushed.

I see the same thing happening today. There have been warnings that we could be in for severe inflation ever since the Federal Reserve rolled out the printing presses back in 2008 with its "quantitative easing" program.

So far, not much has happened. However, similar to the housing bubble, that "nothing" could turn into something very quickly.

After years of easy money policy by countries around the globe, the inflation pump could be primed. Continue reading "The Greatest Risk To Investors Today"

Currencies, Gold And The Big Picture

Here are the monthly views of the basket cases we call major currencies.

Uncle Buck and his reserve status were leveraged to the hilt by "The Hero" and now his successor is trying to gently talk the Fed out of its policy stance over time.  In other words, tightening is going to come one way or another and Janet Yellen is trying to go the orderly route.  When this process becomes disorderly, the USD is likely to benefit from the liquidations elsewhere in the asset world.

Technically, USD is in a long basing pattern.  There are those who think it is basing before a renewed decline, reading a Symmetrical Triangle (continuation) pattern into poor old Unc.  I think the odds are it is bottoming over the post-2008 years when inflation – try as they might to have promoted it – simply has not taken root.  Leaning bullish, watch support and resistance.

usd

 

Long ago we projected a rally in Uncle Buck’s chief competitor, the Euro.  This was due to a bottoming pattern (formed on shorter term charts) and unsustainable negative hype about the Euro crisis.  The target was around 140 +/-, which is the top of the post-2008 downtrend channel.  Euro remains in a big picture downtrend and if global asset markets start to come unwound in the coming months, it is not Euros people are going to run to, I can tell you that.  Bearish below the upper trend line. Continue reading "Currencies, Gold And The Big Picture"