Weekly Futures Recap With Mike Seery

We've asked Michael Seery of SEERYFUTURES.COM to give our INO readers a weekly recap of the Futures market. He has been Senior Analyst for close to 15 years and has extensive knowledge of all of the commodity and option markets.

Michael frequently appears on multiple business networks including Bloomberg news, Fox Business, CNBC Worldwide, CNN Business, and Bloomberg TV. He is also a guest on First Business, which is a national and internationally syndicated business show.

Gold Futures

Gold futures in the August contract basically finished unchanged for the trading week with very little volatility trading at 1,319 still right near a 3 month high and if your currently bullish this market I would buy a futures contract at today’s price while placing my stop below the 2 week low which currently stands at 1,260 risking around $6,000 per contract, however that chart structure will improve dramatically in the next couple of days as volatility has really slowed down as we enter the Fourth of July holiday weekend. I am currently sitting on the sidelines in this market as I’m waiting for better chart structure to develop which is already currently happening and if you’re looking to get short this market I would sell at today’s price while placing your stop above today’s high of 1,325 an ounce risking around $600 per contract as if prices break that level to the upside I would have to think the trend has definitely turned bullish. Gold futures are trading above their 20 and 100 day moving average as the chaos in Iraq is certainly propelling prices in recent weeks as gold had a bearish trend for quite some time actually hitting 1,240 earlier in the month so I’m not totally convinced where prices are going to and that’s why I’m sitting on the sidelines.
TREND: HIGHER
CHART STRUCTURE: IMPROVING

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Chart of The Week - E-Mini S&P 500

Each Week Longleaftrading.com will be providing us a chart of the week as analyzed by a member of their team. We hope that you enjoy and learn from this new feature.

As we start the week our attention turns to the September E-Mini S&P 500 (CME:ES.U14.E) as it looks to extend a 6 day winning streak. US equities have benefited from the dovish and accommodative tone from the FED last week. Existing home sales and manufacturing PMI data have added an additional boost to the market this morning. Coupled with last week’s support, the path of least resistance in the S&P 500 is a move higher. The primary concern that could spark profit taking in this market are the geopolitical risks surrounding the conflict in Iraq which has given early strength to the Crude Oil market.

As we turn to the chart, last week we saw a breakout of a consolidation pattern in an overall strong bull trend last Wednesday, June 18. Since the breakout from this consolidation, the market has legged decisively higher to put in new all time high levels to close out last week. The market put in a new high print in the overnight session of 1959.75 and I expect this bullish momentum to continue this week. Continue reading "Chart of The Week - E-Mini S&P 500"

Weekly Futures Recap With Mike Seery

We've asked Michael Seery of SEERYFUTURES.COM to give our INO readers a weekly recap of the Futures market. He has been Senior Analyst for close to 15 years and has extensive knowledge of all of the commodity and option markets.

Michael frequently appears on multiple business networks including Bloomberg news, Fox Business, CNBC Worldwide, CNN Business, and Bloomberg TV. He is also a guest on First Business, which is a national and internationally syndicated business show.

Gold Futures

Gold futures in the August contract went out last Friday at 1,274 exploding this week settling around 1,316 up about $42 and all that activity was in Thursday’s trade as prices traded up over $40 due to the craziness that’s going on in Iraq and the fact that the entire country basically imploded in weeks after the U.S spent almost $1 trillion and 4,500 deaths Iraq is worse off today than it was 10 years ago as investors finally woke up and started buying the gold market. Gold futures are trading above their 20 and 100 day moving average hitting a two-month high and as a trend follower I have to believe that prices are going higher however at the current time I am on the sidelines due to the fact that there is terrible chart structure so I’m waiting for a better chart pattern to develop.

The problem with Iraq is the situation is not going to go away like the Syrian problem as this is going to be around for years to come and could spread into other countries and don’t forget the fact that Iran is developing a nuclear bomb which is amazing to me how no country has stopped that production and that will be a huge problem down the road as well as interesting times are back in the precious metals as volatility certainly looks like it’s going to increase to much higher levels.
TREND: HIGHER
CHART STRUCTURE: POOR

Continue reading "Weekly Futures Recap With Mike Seery"

Weekly Futures Recap With Mike Seery

We've asked Michael Seery of SEERYFUTURES.COM to give our INO readers a weekly recap of the Futures market. He has been Senior Analyst for close to 15 years and has extensive knowledge of all of the commodity and option markets.

Michael frequently appears on multiple business networks including Bloomberg news, Fox Business, CNBC Worldwide, CNN Business, and Bloomberg TV. He is also a guest on First Business, which is a national and internationally syndicated business show.

Gold Futures

Gold futures in the August contract settled last Friday at 1,252 an ounce while going out in New York today Friday the 13th at 1,274 an ounce trading higher by over $20 an ounce bucking its recent bearish trend. Currently I’m sitting on the sidelines and waiting for another trend to develop as the reason gold snap backed was in the last couple days 2 major cities in Iraq have been taken over by Al Qaeda and it’s a possibility that Baghdad is next bringing the possibility of U.S troops once again sending crude oil and the precious metals higher today. Gold is trading above its 20 day but still below 100 day moving average which stands at 1,296 so keep a close eye on this market as there’s a possibility prices may have bottomed in the short term due to the geopolitical risk. If you believe that prices have bottomed my recommendation would be to buy at today’s price while placing my stop below the recent low of 1,240 risking around $3,300 per contract in case the trend does change and if the Iraqi situation really flares up gold prices would move sharply higher in the short term just on short covering alone. The volatility in my opinion will start to increase over the next several months as it has remained low for some time now so you might want to look at put or call options because the premiums are relatively cheap.
TREND: MIXED
CHART STRUCTURE: IMPROVING

Continue reading "Weekly Futures Recap With Mike Seery"

Weekly Futures Recap With Mike Seery

We've asked Michael Seery of SEERYFUTURES.COM to give our INO readers a weekly recap of the Futures market. He has been Senior Analyst for close to 15 years and has extensive knowledge of all of the commodity and option markets.

Michael frequently appears on multiple business networks including Bloomberg news, Fox Business, CNBC Worldwide, CNN Business, and Bloomberg TV. He is also a guest on First Business, which is a national and internationally syndicated business show.

Gold Futures

Gold futures in the August contract traded in a very tight and narrow trading range this week going out last Friday at 1,246 and settling this Friday at 1,251 up about $5 for the week, however I’m still recommending a short position when prices broke below 1,267 placing your stop loss above the 10 day high which currently stands at 1,290 risking around $40 or $4,000 per contract from today’s price levels. Gold futures are trading below their 20 and 100 day moving average telling you that trend is lower as major support is at 1,240 and if that level is broken I would think you have to retest 1,200 as the same old story continues with the S&P 500 hitting all-time highs once again as money is coming out of the gold sector into equities and I think that trend is going to continue especially with low interest rates staying around for quite some time. At the current time there are no geopolitical events that one must rush into the gold market with the stock market continuing its trend higher it’s difficult for gold to rally at this time so I do see lower prices ahead but make sure you do place your stop loss at the 2 week high in case the trend does change as an investor or trader you always must have an exit strategy.
TREND: LOWER
CHART STRUCTURE: IMPROVING

Continue reading "Weekly Futures Recap With Mike Seery"