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Hello traders everywhere! Adam Hewison here, co-founder of MarketClub with your mid-day market update for Thursday, the 27th of October.
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Is this rally for real and should you trust it?
The Dow is shaping up to have its biggest ever monthly October gain in the history of the Dow. The question traders have to ask themselves, is this for real and should I get long this market?
Everything was sparked off late last night when they thought they had an agreement with the banks to take a 50% haircut on their bond holdings. To put it in simple terms, if you have something worth $10 on your books, it was now only worth $5. And that's a relative term, as there is no real trading market for these bonds at the moment.
The sharp upward move in October came as a surprise to many professional traders, as well as hedge fund managers. Today's action was largely a squeeze play, with the shorts getting squeezed out of their positions forcing them to buy back at higher prices.
Now to get back to our initial question, should you trust this rally in the market? According to our Trade Triangle technology and the long-term trends, not at the moment. Our long-term Trade Triangles on all the indices are still in a negative mode. Somewhere along the line this will change and we will either get a signal to resume short positions or reverse and go long. We will wait and see the outcome of this current move and how it affects our strategy and Trade Triangle technology.
Now, let's go to the charts and see how we can create and maintain your wealth in 2011. Continue reading "Is This Rally For Real?"