Crude Oil, Iraq and The Economy – Are We On A Collision Course?

Hello traders everywhere! Adam Hewison here, discussing the situation in Iraq and how it could possibly affect the US and world economy.

After spending over $1 trillion and having lost the lives of over 4,500 brave Americans in Iraq, the country has once again imploded. I don't have to reiterate what is going on with Muslim extremists, but it seems they are hellbent to take over Baghdad, the capital of Iraq, and the rest of the country. It would appear now, Muslim extremists feel empowered to push their views to the max.

The Middle East has always been a problem waiting to happen, ever since the British left in the 50s. Arab unity seems to be the major problem in this area and one that's been going on perhaps for centuries.

I've always believed that the west's principal interest in that region was because of the crude oil (NYMEX:CL.N14.E) under the sand. I'm positive we would not even be there if they did not have vast resources of energy that the world is addicted to. The question now is, what is going to happen if Iraq and the oil fields are taken over by Muslim extremists and Iran? Should that happen, and the odds are becoming more and more likely that it will, it will produce a world that is totally different from what we know now.

I have been positive on crude oil (NYMEX:CL.N14.E) since May 19th at the $101.98 level (currently trading at $106.98). This market has the potential to continue in a very positive manner and move substantially higher, possibly to the $120 to $125 a barrel area. Continue reading "Crude Oil, Iraq and The Economy – Are We On A Collision Course?"

Is This The Move In Gold You Don't Want To Miss?

Last week, we looked at the cyclical nature of gold prices (FOREX:XAUUSDO) and the fact that gold was potentially at a low in time. Today's upturn in prices may be the beginning of an up move that will push gold back up to the $1,380 level.

At the moment, gold seems to have very few friends and sometimes that is the best time to buy this market. After hitting a high of just over $1,900 an ounce in September of 2011, gold has slowly drifted to the downside. I believe that the $1,200 level is an important area of support for this precious metal and should not be overlooked.

You have heard me say many times before on this blog that perception in the market is everything. Right now, the perception is that gold is not going to go anywhere in a hurry. While it may turn out to be true, there are certain clues out there indicating that gold could rally $150-$200 from the most recent lows. I'm sure many of you can recall when gold was trading close to $1900 an ounce, the talk of $2,000 $2,500 was all the rage amongst the traders. Right now with gold on the defensive and people calling for the gold market to go to $1,000 or even $800 an ounce, it's just the reverse situation. Sometimes it's psychologically difficult to turn your thinking around and that's why MarketClub's Trade Triangles do so well by giving you an unbiased opinion of the market. Continue reading "Is This The Move In Gold You Don't Want To Miss?"

What's Brewing In The Coffee Market?

One of the many things I enjoy about MarketClub is interacting with our members and discussing the markets. One of our members recently asked about the coffee market and what I thought about it.

"Would love to see your analysis of coffee as a special situation. Know it is currently in a pullback. Monthly is still green. Sounds like the shortage is expected to continue and increase. That should mean prices will go even higher. The question is where to get back in. I have been using the ETF JO to play it. Have had a good run with in and outs following TT's, RSI, and other. Expect we could all benefit from a right time buy and proper trailing stop and just following it for a while?"

As you can see, Harold is pretty smart investor and a valued member of MarketClub. He's also taken some nice profits out of the coffee market.

So without further ado, here are my thoughts on the July Coffee (NYMEX:KT.N14.E) market. Now remember, Harold is trading the ETF Ipath DJ-UBS Coffee Trust Sub-Index (PACF:JO). This ETF pretty much mimics what the coffee market is doing.

Chart Code
1. Trade Triangles
2. Price negative divergence
3. RSI negative divergence
4. Fibonacci support area

When trading in the futures markets, we are relying on the weekly Trade Triangle for the trend and the daily Trade Triangles for timing. It's also important not to forget the monthly Trade Triangle, as it shows the longer-term trend. Continue reading "What's Brewing In The Coffee Market?"

An Alternate Way To Find Winning Trades

For some time now, I've wanted to create a short video on an alternate way that you can successfully integrate Marketclub's Trade Triangle technology into your own trading.

In this short video, less than five minutes, you will learn how to look at MarketClub's Trade Triangles in a different way. You will discover a relatively safe way of how to enter markets whose trends are already underway.

I will also show you how to sort through hundreds of Trade Triangles quickly and easily and find just the trade you are looking for. Using this method, you will notice right away which markets are trending higher and which markets are heading for the basement. This method also quickly indicates which markets to avoid.

I would highly recommend taking five minutes out of your busy day to check out this video. I believe it will make your trading more efficient, more profitable and less stressful.

Every success with MarketClub,
Adam Hewison
President, INO.com
Co-Creator, MarketClub

Bloomberg BNN CNBC FOX

Adam appears frequently on the following financial news channels as a guest expert. Click on any cable logo to watch Adam's latest appearance.

Six STEPS To Improve Your Trading Results

Today, I would like to share with you six steps that I'm confident will improve your trading results. When you have been around the markets as long as I have, you will notice how things work in the real world and how they translate into the markets.

Don't be fooled by the simplicity of this approach, like many things in life when you break them down, they're really not that complicated. One of the many challenges we have as humans, is we tend to want to make things more complicated and complex than they need to be.

Step 1. A market begins to move with the sponsors who have insider knowledge as it relates to a particular stock or futures market. This information will move a market up or down depending on the insiders' information. (These buyers are very smart and recognize opportunities early) Continue reading "Six STEPS To Improve Your Trading Results"