Tag: Mid-Day Report

Alphabet, Amazon and Apple All Have Something In Common

Posted on by The INO.com Team

Hello MarketClub members everywhere. Well, here we are at the end of one extraordinary week for the equity markets. I don’t remember a week where we watched the major market indices rally so dramatically from a bearish position in just three days.

In today's post, I'm going to be looking at the big 3 A's, Alphabet, Amazon and Apple. What these three stocks have in common is that they are all in downtrends and they all formed a negative (bearish) engulfing line yesterday. Should any of these three stocks close lower today, they will confirm that the high on Thursday will be a formidable resistance area for these stocks to overcome in the future.

Alphabet Inc.(NASDAQ:GOOG)

Trade Triangles: Weekly red, Monthly red, overall trend is bearish, trend strength -85.

Daily Chart of Alphabet Inc.(NASDAQ:GOOG)

Alphabet has a negative trend at the moment even though it has been extraordinarily strong in the past several years. It's not to say that it's going to hell in a hand basket, but rather it will begin to reflect a slowing economy that is evident in both the retail and dining sector. I would view a close below $697.34 as a confirming signal that it has put in an interim top and is going to retest its recent lows. Continue reading "Alphabet, Amazon and Apple All Have Something In Common" →

Bull Market Or Bear Market, Which Is It?

Posted on by The INO.com Team

There's no doubt that the dramatic 800 point rally we have seen the past three days is practically unprecedented, but did it change the major trend of the market?

The simple answer is no, the longer-term trend for the equity markets at the moment remains negative. But please don't misunderstand what I'm saying, I was as surprised as anybody at the velocity of the rally which exceeded the Fibonacci retracement levels I discussed recently.

Today should be an interesting day to say the least, and I doubt seriously that the market can close higher and would expect to see some sort of pullback from the current levels. There is also what I would consider to be a major resistance based on the highs that were hit on Feb. 1st at the 1939 level on the S&P 500. Providing that level holds, we are still basically in a downward trending market, albeit a choppy one.

Gold

The pullback in gold (FOREX:XAUUSDO) appears to be consolidating, which is good given its rapid move to the upside. In an ideal world, I would like to see gold continue to consolidate around the $1200 level before once again moving higher. I still believe that gold has broken the back of its four-year bear trend and has now embarked on a long-term bullish trend that could take it to the year 2020. Be sure to watch the Trade Triangles for signals that gold has once again embarked on an upward move. Continue reading "Bull Market Or Bear Market, Which Is It?" →

Has Gold Suddenly Lost Its Glitter?

Posted on by The INO.com Team

Hello MarketClub members everywhere! Here we are starting a new trading week and the big news is a sharp rally in equities and a big pullback in gold. The question on everyone's mind is, "is this for real or just a rally in a bear market in equities and a pullback in the bull market for gold?"

Gold

Let's take a look at gold, first of all. I believe that the gold (FOREX:XAUUSDO) market has finally come to life again after hitting a peak in August 2011 and then losing the half its value over a period of four years.

Looking at a long-term chart of monthly gold prices you can see that (2) was the first time that gold had moved below the RSI 50 line. This long-term indicator was showing you that gold prices were in serious trouble. It is also worth noting that the RSI indicator (3) has stopped every rally in gold. I expect to see more consolidation in this market and then see gold break over its resistance at the RSI 50 level. When that happens, expect to see a potential multiyear bull market to take place in gold.

Monthly Chart of Gold

Continue reading "Has Gold Suddenly Lost Its Glitter?" →

This Indicator Is A Winner For Long-Term Traders

Posted on by The INO.com Team

It has been one heck of a week to say the very least and it is not over yet. I want to take a look at a tool that I'm pretty confident in saying that very few traders ever watch. The tool I'm discussing is MarketClub's quarterly charts. If you have not seen this MarketClub feature, you may want to check it out, particularly if you are a long-term trader.

I'm going to be looking at the S&P 500 to see just how close the quarterly chart is to turning negative. I'm also going to be looking at a textbook example of a downside measurement on the S&P 500.

I will also be analyzing Apple and Yahoo, both of which could be in for a pretty bumpy ride.

Let's begin by looking at the S&P 500 (CME:SP500) and the textbook example I mentioned earlier for measuring a down move. I'm using a close-only weekly chart and you will see exactly how I measure the move.

Weekly Chart of S&P 500 (CME:SP500)

Next let's take a look at this long-term quarterly chart of the S&P 500 and as you can see it is poised to possibly break the positive long-term trend that has been in place since October of 2010. Continue reading "This Indicator Is A Winner For Long-Term Traders" →

It's Not Over Until It's Over And It's Not Over Yet - Part 2

Posted on by The INO.com Team

Hello MarketClub members everywhere! Well, today's sharp drop in equity prices and the rally in gold should come as no surprise as I have been talking about this since the beginning of the year. In fact, here's my first post where I explained why I thought the bear market was going to continue in the equities market. I'm not going to go over the reasons again as to why the markets are going down, suffice to say they are going down and are likely to continue.

At the moment all of the central banks, including the Fed, are clueless as to what to do. Instead of spending time on a cure in 2008, we made it easy for everyone to "take a pill" and mask over the problem. Since it did not cure the problem, we all have to suffer now as the markets readjust and face the music. The new hard reality is that there is no wonder pill.

Let's take a look at the major indices and see how far they could fall based on Fibonacci retracement levels and technical measurements. Continue reading "It's Not Over Until It's Over And It's Not Over Yet - Part 2" →