Today's video is on the Relative Strength Index (RSI). This widely-used momentum oscillator measures the strength and speed of a market's price movement by comparing the current price of the security against its past performance. Developed by J. Welles Wilder in the 1970s, the RSI can be used to identify overbought and oversold areas, support and resistance levels, and potential entry and exit signals.
The RSI indicator is shown on a scale of 0 to 100, with levels marked at 70 and 30, and a midline at 50. Wilder recommended a calculation based on a 14 day period, but this can be adjusted to change the sensitivity of the indicator.
Today, I'm going to be analyzing Dollar Tree, Inc.(NASDAQ:DLTR). Dollar Tree has had enjoyed a spectacular rise over the last 5 years. After trading below $7 in January of 2008, this stock stayed in a pretty convincing uptrend and made an all-time high of $60.19 on October 21, 2013.
This in-depth analysis of Dollar Tree is not to say the stock can’t go higher, perhaps later in the year, but rather noting certain technical elements that are falling in place that do not look good for this stock. You only have to look back at stocks like Netflix and Apple to see how they can have spectacular falls from all-time highs and still come back.
Not shown on today's chart are 2 negative engulfing lines that occurred in the past 9 weeks on the weekly chart. That is another bad technical sign for this market.
Today, I'm going to analyze the gold market and in particular the spot gold market, which really drives everything in gold trading.
In 2013, gold turned out to be a real loser for the gold bulls, dropping some 20+ percent on the year and the year is not over with. While equities soared, the gold markets swooned and didn't receive any love from anyone. In fact, many of the big players like Soros, John Paulson and other large hedge fund managers began dumping their GLD ETF holdings just recently, as they too have had enough of the yellow metal's antics. All of this weighed heavily on the price of gold.