Gold And Silver: The Bulls Failed

Aibek Burabayev - INO.com Contributor - Metals


Gold - Classic Chart

Daily Gold Chart

Another profitable week for the bulls ended and so did the upward momentum. Price elevated for a decent $40 from my last post and almost touched the $1223 resistance area on Thursday, but failed below $1220 and then quickly retraced down for $15 to a $1204 close.

The rule of the game is set so that if you don’t keep buying to push the market up, sellers will appear and you would be buying all the way down. Once weakness appeared, the bears took the ball and started their own game, pulling the price down from recent highs. Monday brought more selling pressure to the game and the price is now below the first support level at $1190 (former resistance, highlighted in green). If we close below $1190, then I would not rule out price reaching $1170/$1131 supports. Sellers can benefit from the trade lower, with a stop set just above $1200 and take profit put above $1131. $20 of risk versus $55 of profit, a sound ratio. Continue reading "Gold And Silver: The Bulls Failed"

Metal Tactics: Gold And Silver

Aibek Burabayev - INO.com Contributor - Metals


Gold

Price is still above the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement line on the monthly charts at the $1155 level.

Gold - Classic Chart

Daily Gold Chart

The bulls have scored $25 from the close of the week ending on March 13, 2015 and that sent Gold above the short term downtrend beyond $1180 (highlighted in red on the chart above), which started in January when the metal hit $1300. Continue reading "Metal Tactics: Gold And Silver"

Metal Tactics: Short Silver and Palladium With A Tight Stop

Aibek Burabayev - INO.com Contributor - Metals


Dear INO.com Readers,

The end of January brought worrisome signals to the metals' bulls and I want to show you where Silver and Palladium failed to sustain growth and why.

Silver Is In A Downtrend

Let's start with Silver, as it's more liquid and therefore more interesting. Below is a weekly candle chart. I started my metals posts from an overview of a monthly time frame and now I am digging deeper into details using a weekly period.

Weekly Silver Candlestick Chart

The medium term trend is bearish. At the end of 2014, Silver managed to stop a free fall that started above the $21 level. Price sculpted a double bottom figure (highlighted in the blue semicircle) in the $15-18 range. Continue reading "Metal Tactics: Short Silver and Palladium With A Tight Stop"

Gold, Silver & the Macro

Those micro managing the precious metals are fixating on the Symmetrical Triangle (bearish continuation) and a coming 'Death Cross' of the MA 50 below the MA 200.

The Sym-Tri has been apparent for about three weeks and the Death Cross is hype put forth by those who would make grand TA statements.  The Death Cross means next to nothing.  I mean, how much good did the Golden Cross that the "community" was pumping in March end up doing?

gold

Gold is bearish and has been bearish by its technicals (below the 50 and 200 MA’s), and ever since the economic soft patch was was put behind us (cold weather, remember?) by its apparent macro fundamentals as well.  NFTRH has been keeping this situation locked down and in a box for future reference.  The box will be opened when the time is right.

Meanwhile, I'd suggest that people avoid micro managing gold.  It is not an idol or a religion, and while there is a whole industry champing at the bit to begin promoting it again, it is just a tool for retaining the value of money.  Sometimes tools sit in the toolbox.

As for silver… Continue reading "Gold, Silver & the Macro"

Chart of The Week - Silver

Each Week Longleaftrading.com will be providing us a chart of the week as analyzed by a member of their team. We hope that you enjoy and learn from this new feature.

In the May 2014 Silver (or Mini Silver) futures, a recent up-trend has consolidated just above the $21.500 level over the past seven trading sessions. Equity markets have been weighed down by a round of profit-taking in the initial morning hours, giving way to strong upside potential in the precious metals markets.

Yesterday's trading session, February 25, 2014, provided an outside reversal on the daily chart. The market failed on a downside move, reversed, and closed above the high at $22.030. This price action is a bullish near-term indicator. Continue reading "Chart of The Week - Silver"