Bitcoin, Dollar, Gold And Silver Update

As Bitcoin matures, the chart structure becomes more readable over time. We can see how such a conventional indicator as a moving average perfectly supports the price. I added a 55-day (Fibonacci number) moving average (green), which at least three times this year kept the price in the bullish mode that started last October when the price crossed this line to the upside.

Another popular indicator RSI has perfectly detected the Bearish Divergence and pushed the price down last month. After that, it moved back above the crucial 50 level, which supported the current upward move.

Daily Bitcoin Chart

I see possible AB/CD segments in the chart (blue labels). The BC consolidation was huge and complicated, but it could be over now. If the CD segment travels the same distance as the AB part, then the price of Bitcoin could hit the new all-time high of $80,000. The projection of the black trendline resistance confirms that ambitious target, and we know how powerful the trends are. Continue reading "Bitcoin, Dollar, Gold And Silver Update"

Gold & Silver: Dollar Is Going Down

U.S. dollar index (DXY) 4-hour chart

Dollar Index

Last time the chart structure of the dollar was less clear; hence I put two opposite scenarios in the chart with triggers.

As time goes by, the market reveals itself more clearly. The DXY price built a familiar two-leg consolidation highlighted with the orange ellipse. It follows the preceding move down from the recent peak of green leg 2. It means further weakness is ahead. I put the trigger on the 91.30 mark (bottom of the minor consolidation) for confirmation. The target remains intact in the area of the Y2018 valley. Continue reading "Gold & Silver: Dollar Is Going Down"

Same Plan For Silver, Wake-Up Call For Gold

The U.S. dollar index (DXY) chart opens this update.

US Dollar Index

The plan posted at the beginning of this month played out amazingly accurate in the DXY chart. The dollar, indeed, moved to the upside hitting beyond the first target of 92.07, and it almost reached the second goal with a 1.272x multiplier at 92.72 mark. The maximum of 92.50 was established on March 8. This move has a sharper angle, and it reached the target earlier than the clone of the first move up.

This time I put more annotations to highlight all crucial things for education. The main question is whether the second move-up is over or not. We can see two distinct minor legs in the current move to the upside marked as (i) and (ii); the latter is larger than the former. Then the price reversed to the downside within a zigzag. This could be another minor consolidation ahead of the leg (iii) to the upside. Continue reading "Same Plan For Silver, Wake-Up Call For Gold"

Gold & Silver: The King Fights Back

The benchmark 10-year Treasury yield spiked to 1.61% last week for the first time in more than a year. The U.S. dollar, aka “King,” fought back to the upside on this growth of the yield. Investors ran out of other assets, including precious metals, and its price dropped.

Let us see the updated structure of the U.S. dollar index (DXY) in the chart below.

dollar

It looks like the DXY moves according to your favorite orange path to the upside that was published last week. However, the sharp drop below the earlier valley eliminated both scenarios. Continue reading "Gold & Silver: The King Fights Back"

Watch Gold, Leave Silver Alone

It is time to update the charts as gold triggered the former valley of $1765 last Friday.

The U.S. dollar index (DXY) opens this post.

Dollar Index

Most of you agreed last month with the plan that the dollar index will extend its consolidation to the upside, making a zigzag first to the downside and then to the upside with the target area between 91.40 and 91.80 (blue box). The former was your favorite goal, and it was hit with a margin as the price reached 91.60 at the top of this month. Continue reading "Watch Gold, Leave Silver Alone"