Silver Update: Who Shot The Sheriff?

Aibek Burabayev - INO.com Contributor - Metals


Silver started October with a long bullish candle. The next day I wrote a post that Silver could reach higher highs, and long positions are favorable from the risk/reward point of view. The metal rocketed more than $1 from the posted price ($15.229), but caught the “bullet” in the sky and fell “dead”.

Below is the reconstruction of my chart from that post to see where the metal reached and what levels were broken back.

Silver Daily: After Crash

Daily Silver Chart
Chart courtesy of tradingview.com

Silver has managed to overshoot the distance of the green ab segment by 0.382 (at 1.382 Fibonacci expansion ratio) and has outweighed Gold’s progress that it couldn’t overshoot. The entire segment has fit into a single month of October from the trough to the peak on October 28th. Gold peaked earlier on October 15th and didn’t make new highs after that. Continue reading "Silver Update: Who Shot The Sheriff?"

Silver Update: Risk/Reward Ratio Favors Longs (1:4)

Aibek Burabayev - INO.com Contributor - Metals


Back in September, I posted a Silver update with the very promising title, "The Time Has Come," where I suggested both target and time for this fading downside move. The target at the $13.7 level hadn’t been reached as buyers did not wait to buy on the dips and had followed Gold to the upside beyond $15, but the time goal (which I stressed in the title) worked out perfectly according to the Fibonacci time zone extension. The downtrend exhaustion appeared in September and it has been really wasting away as not only the low, but also the high of September have both been trapped in the shadow of August (margins have been highlighted in two black dashed parallel horizontal lines). Below the chart, I am going to expand on the prospects of the current reversal.

Silver (FOREX:XAUGSDO)
Chart courtesy of TradingView.com

Laozi said, “A journey of a thousand miles begins with a single step” and the above daily chart shows us important details that can’t be seen on the monthly chart. Here we can see the last steps of the previous “journey” down and the first “step” for the way up. Continue reading "Silver Update: Risk/Reward Ratio Favors Longs (1:4)"

Conspiracy Facts Show Metal Prices Have to Rise

Even in a frozen metals price market, it only takes one event to shake off the paper manipulation keeping prices below what supply and demand fundamentals of a free market would dictate. And when that correction comes, it could happen quickly. In this interview with The Gold Report, The Morgan Report Publisher David Morgan shares his favorite ways to own leverage to metal prices upside while protecting against junior mining risk.

Gold and Silver Bars

The Gold Report: You and David Smith recently wrote a piece titled "Gold and Silver: Heading for a Blue Screen of Death Event." You compared the gut-wrenching panic of suddenly facing a computer that stops working with a precious metals market that seems frozen, in the case of gold, in sub-$1,200/ounce ($1,200/oz) limbo. But then you suggested that, like a Windows operating system, the metal could be rebooted on its way to once again hitting $1,900/oz. What would it take for something like that to occur? How do you hit Control-Alt-Delete on a commodity? Continue reading "Conspiracy Facts Show Metal Prices Have to Rise"

Year To Date Dynamics: Metals Versus Top Assets

Aibek Burabayev - INO.com Contributor - Metals


Today I prepared for you the year-to-date comparative dynamics of the metals versus the top financial instruments including the Dollar Index, crude oil and the S&P 500 index.

Gold Comparison Chart
Chart courtesy of TradingView.com

As seen in the above graph, half of the instruments started the year on an upbeat tune, lead by Silver and followed by Gold, Platinum and the Dollar Index. The other half started with a nose-diving fall, especially crude oil followed by Copper, Palladium and the S&P 500 bringing up the rear. Continue reading "Year To Date Dynamics: Metals Versus Top Assets"

Silver Update: The Time Has Come

Aibek Burabayev - INO.com Contributor - Metals


The less you watch, the more you see the whole picture. The last time I posted a Silver update was three months ago, and nothing much has happened in the market, but the attitude has changed with a fresh look. Let's take a look at the details on the chart below.

FOREX:XAGUSD
Chart courtesy of TradingView.com

In my last Silver update, I had said that in the current downtrend it was preferable to take short positions with good protective stops just above resistance and the range had been defined within the $15-18.5 margins. Indeed, the price had broken below the $15 support level and dipped lower, testing the December 2014 low at the $14 level which would open the door to interim support at $12 level. This attack was repelled in the previous month and the market closed almost in between the $14-15 level at $14.60. Continue reading "Silver Update: The Time Has Come"