What Will August Bring?

Hello traders everywhere!  Adam Hewison here, co-founder of MarketClub with your 1 p.m. market update for Monday, the 1st of August.

As we start off this first day of August and first trading day of the week the cat is out of the bag, and the market doesn't like what it sees.  The S&P 500 is now trading below its 200 day moving average as of this writing, which indicates further weakness ahead.

The equity markets started out strong, as did crude oil and the dollar.  All that has changed now when the manufacturing sector came out and said that things were slowing down quite dramatically. In fact new orders grew at their slowest pace in 2 years in July, with new orders contracting, it represents a troubling development for the economy and the stock market.

Viewers of this report will note that we have been very cautious on the stock market as we felt it was rolling over to the downside based on technical analysis.  A close today below the 200 day moving average which comes in at 1285 will be viewed as a negative for the S&P 500.

At this point, the greatest fear is a potential downgrade by one of the rating agencies.  Should that happen, more pressure will be put on this market.  Many investors have become complacent and this is a real danger in my view.  I think there's a major opportunity to make money in this market as I see the S&P 500 slipping to the 1265 level before any kind of bounce.

Now, let's go to the markets and see how we can protect and grow your money in 2011.

Continue reading "What Will August Bring?"

What is going to happen with the debt?

Hello fellow traders everywhere. Adam Hewison here co-founder of MarketClub with your weekend trading update for the week ending on 7/29/11.

Out of the six markets we track every trading day, five markets were in negative territory for the week. The only market that did not end up in the minus column was gold which moved up 1.40%.

The percentage loser for the week was S&P500 which moved down 3.69% and is on the verge of breaking out to the downside. The markets continue to wait and  wait and wait to see what is going to happen with the debt.

Let's take a look at the charts, because unlike politicians, they tell you what is really going on in the world.

So here's what happened last week in the major markets…. Continue reading "What is going to happen with the debt?"

Just Four More Days To The Debt Deadline

Hello traders everywhere!  Adam Hewison here, co-founder of MarketClub with your 1 p.m. market update for Friday, the 29th of July.

Just four more days to the debt deadline.  I'm guessing that it is an artificial deadline made up for political reasons.  I am positive that this is just an arbitrary date that some policy wonk came up with to get everyone up in arms about doing something with the debt.

I believe Warren Buffett had the best idea on how to end our debt problems.  Here is what Warren had to say:

"I could end the deficit in five minutes.  You just pass a law that says that anytime there is a deficit of more than 3% of GDP, all sitting members of Congress are ineligible for re-election."

Way to go Warren!!!

Well, we have made it to the last day of the trading week and the last day of the trading month.  The equity markets are, as of this writing, sharply lower for the week and also the month.  Gold and Silver on the other hand, are sharply higher for the week and the month.

As we have been indicating, we felt the equity markets were rolling over to the downside.  Technically we are getting closer to pulling the trigger on our major monthly Trade Triangle which sets the trend for the equity markets.

Now let's take a look at what the markets are telling us and the direction they're taking on this last trading day of the month.

Continue reading "Just Four More Days To The Debt Deadline"

Will The Market Rally Today?

Hello traders everywhere!  Adam Hewison here, co-founder of MarketClub with your 1 p.m. market update for Thursday, the 28th of July.

Let us not overlook the the importance of the dramatic fall in equity prices yesterday.  We do not believe that it was a one day event.  Certainly a move of over 2% in one day to the downside cannot be seen as a positive in anyone's book.

I could go on and on about the debt ceiling crisis or the lack of resolve, but it seems pointless.  I think the market is just going to generally roll over to the downside.  I do not see any strong rally today.  I think even when they come out with a resolution it's going to be viewed as negative and not enough and we will see the market once again be on the defensive.

The pressure on Silver and Gold earlier today is the first sign of profit taking that we have seen.  However, both markets remain in an upward trend.  Crude Oil continues to be trapped in the broad trading range that we discussed in previous broadcasts.

Let's go to the Markets!

Continue reading "Will The Market Rally Today?"

Where Will The Markets Close This Week?

Hello traders everywhere! Adam Hewison here, co-founder of MarketClub with your 1 p.m. market update for Wednesday, the 27th of July.

It really upsets me when we export US jobs overseas. Case in point: General Electric just shipped a ton of jobs out of Wisconsin to China. I can understand some things, but the person who is in charge of creating jobs for the President of the United States is Jeffrey Immelt, who just so happens to be the president of General Electric. So here we have someone who is “The Official Job Creating Czar" shipping good American jobs overseas to China. Does that make any sense to anyone? Oh, and I might also point out that General Electric paid zero taxes in the U.S. last year.

How much did you pay in taxes?

How are the markets reacting with just 2 days left before the end of the month? The equity markets are remarkably flat so far for July. It's a different story for Gold and Silver which had the biggest gains last month with a 9% move up in Silver, and a positive gain over 7% for Gold. Crude Oil was up 2.47% in July, which closely mirrored the Reuters/Jefferies CRB Commodity Index which managed to move up 2.67%

Let's go right to the markets!

Continue reading "Where Will The Markets Close This Week?"