Gold Is At The Crossroads! Which Stock Is The Most Vulnerable?

Aibek Burabayev - INO.com Contributor - Metals


Back in March in my major gold update I warned you that what was being billed as a New Bull Run could easily turn out to be a complex correction. In that post’s chart, I didn’t put the small Fibonacci retracement level at 38.2% as I was impressed with the strong move to the upside from the bottom and I thought it would be useless. These days the situation has changed and I put an updated chart below.

Chart 1. Gold Monthly: First Serious Resistance

Gold Monthly Chart W/Fibonacci
Chart courtesy of tradingview.com

Last month the gold stalled at the red trendline resistance as the price closed 25 dollars below the month’s maximum. This month the price action will be crucial as there is no room to step back. It would be hard work to crack double resistance within the $1360-1381 range, which consists of the red trendline and the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level. Continue reading "Gold Is At The Crossroads! Which Stock Is The Most Vulnerable?"

Freeport-McMoRan Could Double Amid Strong Copper

Aibek Burabayev - INO.com Contributor - Metals


Copper advanced 15 cents or 7% higher from my previous post and it looks like we are going to see much more strength as it was just a warming-up.

Chart 1. Copper-Oil Weekly: The Metal Tries To Catch Up Consolidating Crude

Chart 1. Copper-Oil Weekly: The Metal Tries To Catch Up Consolidating Crude
Chart courtesy of tradingview.com

The comparative chart above became a tradition. This time, there are no dramatic changes on it and the only drama here is the failure of crude oil to surpass the first strong barrier at the $50 mark (black dashed horizontal line). Oil has been stuck in a $5 range between $45 and $50 levels. We are at a crucial point as soon we will know for sure if it was a strong correction in oil before another huge drop to the $26 low or below or is it a consolidation before the break through $50 and then $60 barriers within a new uptrend. Continue reading "Freeport-McMoRan Could Double Amid Strong Copper"

Gold/Silver Ratio: Halfway To The Target

Aibek Burabayev - INO.com Contributor - Metals


In my February post I called for the topping of the ratio as it hit the upside of the long-term range. The idea was to short gold and buy silver simultaneously at the 79 oz level. It's gone very well, and you can see it in the following charts.

Below is the reconstruction of the February chart to refresh your memory.

Chart 1. Gold/Silver Ratio Monthly: Half Of The Range

Gold/Silver Ratio Monthly
Chart courtesy of tradingview.com

I changed the color of my old remarks to black to stress your attention to the new colored annotations. The post-idea ratio dynamics are highlighted with the orange rectangle. Continue reading "Gold/Silver Ratio: Halfway To The Target"

Silver Has Hit The Target And Marked A New One!

Aibek Burabayev - INO.com Contributor - Metals


Silver has overshot the target set at the $20 mark in my June post leaving the gold in the dust. The AB/CD concept is simple yet effective as it utilizes perpetual Fibonacci ratios.

Ok, that’s done, but what is next? Let’s look at the charts below. I put the monthly chart first to refresh the global outlook for the soaring metal.

Chart 1. Silver Monthly: The Game Just Started!

Monthly Chart of Silver
Chart courtesy of tradingview.com

The metal has finally shot above the black downtrend, which I was talking about in my March update. It was a vital need for silver to break loose from the multi-year grip to stop the drop. Continue reading "Silver Has Hit The Target And Marked A New One!"

Pendulum Experiment Result: Success! One More?

Aibek Burabayev - INO.com Contributor - Metals


Here we are! The experiment came to its final stage - the summary. Almost eight months ago we put two completely different instruments on the starting line in an exciting competition, which should have proved or refuted the assumption of the ‘pendulum effect’. The Japanese Nikkei index was a top performing instrument in November 2015 with +13% gains while Palladium was the top losing metal with -24% losses.

Chart 1. Voting results November 2015: The Majority Bet On The Success Of The Experiment!

Chart 1. INO.com Voting results November 2015

Above is the screenshot of the ballot results for the experiment. Most of you bet on Palladium winning, which means the success of the experiment, and you were absolutely right dear readers!!! Congratulations! And thank you for the support of the experiment! See the chart below for the confirmation. Continue reading "Pendulum Experiment Result: Success! One More?"