Weekly Stock Market Forecast

This week we have a stock market forecast for the week of 10/31/21 from our friend Bo Yoder of the Market Forecasting Academy. Be sure to leave a comment and let us know what you think!

The S&P 500 (SPY)

SPY Weekly Chart  - Stock Market Forecast

This week we have seen a lot of conflict between the bears and bulls, and when we look at the weekly chart above. It seems the bulls have won this week as a small green candlestick seems to "confirm" the bullish breakout.

To understand this better and get a more precise view of supply and demand pressures, we must look at the market in a more granular manner. Continue reading "Weekly Stock Market Forecast"

Bitcoin Hits The Target, What's Next?

Last Wednesday, Bitcoin rallied to its highest price ever, reaching just over $67k. The minimum bullish target at the previous all-time high that was preset at the start of the month has been hit. The majority of readers guessed it right.

Did you book the profit?

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What's next? I see at least two opposite perspectives. Let us see them one by one.

Bitcoin Daily Chart

The chart above is based on the assumption that the next significant move is kicking off now after a considerable retracement from April to June this year. Continue reading "Bitcoin Hits The Target, What's Next?"

Weekly Stock Market Forecast

This week we have a stock market forecast for the week of 10/24/21 from our friend Bo Yoder of the Market Forecasting Academy. Be sure to leave a comment and let us know what you think!

The S&P 500 (SPY)

SPY Daily Chart - Stock Market Forecast

The time is finally here...

SPY has to choose what to do next. Continue reading "Weekly Stock Market Forecast"

Gold; A Thing Of Beauty...

Gold calmly continues cobbling its Handle; Miners lay in wait.

You see, there is all this noise out there. It comes mostly from inflationists touting gold in the same breath as copper, as oil, and as commodities of all flavors (and aside from gold and, to a degree, silver, those flavors are cyclical).

But you also see, gold is counter-cyclical in its best suit. You see on this monthly chart that gold has been forming its Handle to the bullish Cup ever since the inflation trades came to the fore in the summer of 2020. Therefore, you see that those touting gold and inflation together have been wrong for over a year now (and counting).

For those dealing in reality instead of dogma, gold is a candidate to break the Handle at any time. Then it would be off to the target at 3000+ over the course of a year or more. But reality holds another option as well, and that is to finish the Handle making lower.

So why not tune out the perma-pompoms in real-time, realize that the thing is bullish, but the trigger is either coming sooner or later? We are doing that more focused work in NFTRH and associated updates every week and will be on the spot when the proper signals engage.

This chart was created in 2020 as gold spiked to an all-time high and reversed (into the then-projected Handle). Continue reading "Gold; A Thing Of Beauty..."

$4550 Is Critical Resistance For The S&P 500

Two main factors are driving the rally in the US stock markets recently; retail traders buying the dip, and Q3:2021 earnings data is starting to shake away the concerns that resulted in the recent market rotation. Combine these activities with the start of the Christmas Rally phase (which usually starts sometime after mid/late-October and carries through into early January), and we have the making of a moderately strong potential price rally in the US major indexes over the next 60+ days.

The $4550 Level Is Critical Resistance For The S&P 500

I’m highlighting this ES Daily and Weekly chart pattern, below, to share with you how important it is to see the ES break above the $4550 level – the past high price peak. If the markets are going to start a new rally headed into the 2021 Christmas season, then we need to see the ES continue to rally and break above the $4550 level. It is critically important that price breach the $4550 level and attempt a strong move higher if this bullish momentum persists.

The ES has already broken above three previous Stand-out Highs, drawn in MAGENTA. This shows the strength of a bullish price advance and building bullish price momentum. Yet, the final price high, near $4550, is critically important from a technical standpoint. Continue reading "$4550 Is Critical Resistance For The S&P 500"