Change = Opportunity = Gold

Let's face it, without change, there can be no opportunity. As traders and investors, we need to see change in order to make money.

One potential opportunity in 2014 could be gold. In 2013, gold suffered what was perhaps its worst performance as an asset in decades, losing over 25% of its value for the year. This was the first time that gold had a year-to-year loss that I can remember. So in 2014, the question has to be, what's going on with gold and is it going to redeem itself?

Looking at the chart which begins in July of 2012, you can see that gold hit its high and then basically for the next 15 months moved consecutively lower. This high is not the all-time high that was seen in August of 2011 at $1904, but the most significant high for our chart work. Continue reading "Change = Opportunity = Gold"

It's 2014, Now What?

Hello traders everywhere! Adam Hewison here, President of INO.com and co-creator of MarketClub, with your market Outlook for 2014.

Well, here it is 2014, and I would like to wish all of our members, friends and traders around the world a very happy and prosperous new year.

Let's start with the indices which had a spectacular year in 2013, in fact, it was their best year since the mid-90s. Are we likely to see those same returns in 2014? I seriously doubt the indices are going to see double digit growth like they experienced last year. What I do expect to see are much more volatile markets as the Fed begins to extricate itself from its grand experiment. It certainly is not clear to anyone that we are going to get out of this "grand experiment" without any pain. You look at a stock like Netflix (NASDAQ:NFLX), which was certainly the star performer last year managing a gain of 296% for the year, can that continue?

According to a recent poll our blog at least a 50% of the voters expected the trend to continue in 2013. I'm not so convinced, but I would like to see what the Trade Triangles say and go with that strategy in 2014. Continue reading "It's 2014, Now What?"

Miners Must Mind Their Margins

The Gold Report: Since you last spoke to The Gold Report in March, the price of gold has collapsed. What happened?

Rob Cohen: Gold has collapsed when compared to the U.S. dollar, but not when compared to other hard assets. For instance, since gold was allowed to float in 1971, its average price ratio per ounce to the price of a barrel of oil has been 15:1. Right now, it's about 13:1, so it's not that far from the mean. We remain a little puzzled by what has happened. Going back to 2008, there's been a strong correlation between the expanding balance sheet of the Federal Reserve and the rising price of gold, but that link has been cut, at least for now.

We have also had some positive economic data out of the U.S.

TGR: Is this positive data really all that positive? Continue reading "Miners Must Mind Their Margins"

Apple Finally Inks The China Mobile Deal

Hello traders everywhere! Adam Hewison here, President of INO.com and co-creator of MarketClub, with your video update for Monday, the 23rd of December.

Apple Lands A Big One

Yesterday, China Mobile announced that it had finalized a deal with Apple (NASDAQ:AAPL). This deal has been 6 years in the making and earlier in the month it was rumored not to be doable which made the stock of Apple fall. So just how big is the market for Apple with China Mobile?

To put the Apple China Mobile deal in perspective, the number of subscribers that China Mobile has is twice the population of the US. I think that gives us an idea of just how big the potential market is for the Apple iPhone in China.

About a month ago, I did it in-depth analysis of Apple showing where we thought the stock could go in the next month or two. You can see that analysis right here. It is well worth a visit if you missed it the first time. Continue reading "Apple Finally Inks The China Mobile Deal"

Are Stocks On Your Christmas Wishlist?

Hello traders everywhere! Adam Hewison here, President of INO.com and co-creator of MarketClub, with your video update for Friday, the 20th of December.

Amazon

Amazon (NASDAQ:AMZN) moved over the $400 a share level for the first time in its history. I have been positive on Amazon since June 7th of this year, when the monthly Trade Triangle kicked in at $277.40. It is clear now, to almost everyone, that Amazon is the 900lbs gorilla in the retail space. It's going to be almost impossible to dislodge them from this position, in my opinion. Certainly the new generation of shoppers are going to bypass the Walmarts (NYSE:WMT) and the Targets (NYSE:TGT) of the world, especially when you think of the security breach that took place at Target just recently. I expect Amazon to trend higher.

Gold

Continue reading "Are Stocks On Your Christmas Wishlist?"