Disney Continues To Deliver Robust Growth

Noah Kiedrowski - INO.com Contributor - Biotech


I recently wrote two articles highlighting Disney as an inexpensive growth opportunity for long-term investors. In my opinion, Disney presents a compelling case for long-term investors. My positive sentiment is rooted in many lucrative franchises such as Star Wars, Pixar, Marvel, ESPN and the legacy Disney brand turning out original content such as Frozen and more recently Zootopia. Disney offers a deep and well-diversified product portfolio that is set to provide growth, income and safety well into the future. This portfolio gives rise to a basket of entertainment income streams via movies, licensing deals, theme parks, TV programing, resorts and distribution rights. Disney stock has been under pressure as of late due to increasingly worrisome revenue declines from its ESPN franchise. I feel this decline in the stock is unwarranted, and analysts underestimate the ability of Disney to evolve to the consumer and monetize ESPN via other means. My views were recently echoed by analysts at Pivotal Research which upgraded the stock from a hold to a buy and raised its target price from $104 to $122. JPMorgan Chase also reiterated its buy rating and assigned a $118 target price. Disney has witnessed fantastic growth over the last decade and considering future catalysts in the pipeline; Disney appears undervalued. Disney currently sits at a P/E of ~18 along with a PEG of ~1.5 and has seen its stock fall from $122 to a current price of ~$98 or alternatively a 20% decline. Taking a look at its P/E ratio (currently 18 – in-line with the broader market average) indicates that it’s an average stock and I believe Disney is much more than the average stock. This presents a great buying opportunity in an inexpensive, high-quality growth stock. Continue reading "Disney Continues To Deliver Robust Growth"

Are Hasbro Results A Harbinger For Disney Earnings?

Noah Kiedrowski - INO.com Contributor - Biotech


I recently wrote a piece highlighting Disney as an inexpensive growth opportunity for long-term investors. My positive sentiment was rooted in many lucrative franchises such as Star Wars, Pixar, Marvel, ESPN and the legacy Disney brand turning out original content such as Frozen and Zootopia. Disney offers a deep and well-diversified product portfolio that is set to provide growth and safety well into the future. This portfolio gives rise to a basket of entertainment income streams via movies, licensing deals, theme parks, TV programing, resorts and distribution rights. Disney stock has been under pressure as of late due to increasingly worrisome revenue declines from the ESPN franchise. I felt this decline in the stock is unwarranted, and analysts underestimate the ability of Disney to evolve to the consumer and monetize ESPN via other means. My views were recently echoed by analysts at Pivotal Research which upgraded the stock from a hold to a buy and raised its target price from $104 to $122. JPMorgan Chase also reiterated its buy rating and a $118 target price. Disney has witnessed fantastic growth over the last decade and considering future catalysts in the pipeline; Disney appears undervalued. Disney currently sits at a P/E of ~18 along with a PEG of ~1.5 and has seen its stock fall from $122 to a current price of ~$100 or alternatively a ~20% decline. This presents a great buying opportunity in an inexpensive, high-quality growth stock.

Are Hasbro Results A Harbinger for Upcoming Disney Earnings?

Disney and Hasbro have established a mutually beneficial partnership as Hasbro’s recent quarterly sales increased by 16%. This double-digit increase in sales was largely attributable to the sales of Disney’s Star Wars and Princess franchises. Overall, Hasbro’s revenue grew to $831.2 million from $713.5 million during a time that is typically slower for toy makers. Hasbro’s strong numbers benefited from the late 2015 release of the new Star Wars film. CEO Brian Goldner stated “Retail and consumer demand for Star Wars remained very high” and that Hasbro’s line of Disney Princess characters was “very positive.” The Disney and Hasbro relationship is being leveraged for future movies such as the upcoming Captain America Civil War film as well. Continue reading "Are Hasbro Results A Harbinger For Disney Earnings?"

Disney - A Very Attractive Inexpensive Growth Stock

Noah Kiedrowski - INO.com Contributor - Biotech


Disney offers an array of world renowned franchises (Star Wars, Pixar, Marvel, ESPN and the Disney offerings) that offer a deep and well-diversified product portfolio. This portfolio gives rise to a basket of entertainment income streams via movies, licensing deals, theme parks, TV programing, resorts and distribution rights. Disney stock has been under pressure as of late due to increasingly worrisome revenue declines from the ESPN franchise. I feel this decline in the stock is unwarranted and analysts underestimate the ability of Disney to evolve to the consumer and monetize ESPN via other means. The generational penetration of the Star Wars, Marvel, Pixar and the legacy Disney franchises are being underestimated and undervalued. Disney has witnessed fantastic growth over the last decade and considering future catalysts in the pipeline; Disney appears undervalued. Disney currently sits at a P/E of 18 along with a PEG of 1.5 and has seen its stock fall from $122 to a current price of $96 or alternatively a 21% decline. This presents a great buying opportunity in an inexpensive, high-quality growth stock.

Future Growth and Pipeline

Disney has a rich pipeline with Star Wars themed parks, Star Wars movies, the opening of Disney Shanghai, Marvel movies, Pixar movies and future Disney movies such as Finding Dory to highlight a few. The deep movie portfolio and distribution schedule is highlighted below (Figure 1). Continue reading "Disney - A Very Attractive Inexpensive Growth Stock"

Sometimes No Position Is The Best Position

What do I mean by that?

To put it simply, sometimes being on the sidelines in a cash position can be beneficial to your portfolio. There are times in the market when trends are very clear, whether it be up or down. At the moment when you look at the DOW Index, the Trade Triangle technology is indicating that you should be on the sidelines as the major trend remains down while the intermediate-term trend is positive. Over at the NASDAQ and the S&P 500, you should still be negative on those indices, providing the 4,636.93 and 1947.20 levels are not breached to the upside.

Today could be a very interesting day, we could see the recent upward momentum reverse back down and witness a pullback in the major indices and many stocks that have recently rallied against their longer-term negative trends.

Here are a few of the stocks I'm covering today. Continue reading "Sometimes No Position Is The Best Position"

Can Star Wars Save Disney Or Will ESPN Sink The Ship?

After the close today, The Walt Disney Company (NYSE:DIS) announces its earnings for the fourth quarter. Analysts are expecting Disney to make $1.45 a share on revenues of 14.7 billion. But here's the rub, ESPN which produces 45% of Disney's revenues, lost 3 million subscribers last year and is now a potential Achilles' heel for Disney.

Here's how I'm looking at Disney:
The Trade Triangles are all red and negative indicating lower prices. Technically the chart for Disney looks dismal at best. Based on those two elements, I expect Disney to either come in on analysts estimates or to miss their earnings. I do not expect to see a surprise on the upside here. Based on that analysis you would want to be short (if you're not already based on the Trade Triangles) Disney before the close today.

Daily Chart of The Walt Disny Company (NYSE:DIS)

Another stock that is set to report fourth-quarter 2015 results after the close today is Akamai Technologies Inc. (NASDAQ:AKAM). Analysts estimate that this stock should have positive earnings of around $0.50 a share. I would be surprised given the overall negative tone of tech stocks that even if Akamai reports good earnings, it won't go far on the upside. Technically speaking this stock according to the Trade Triangles is in a major downtrend, it has however completed a 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and is within striking distance of a long-term support line which comes in around $37 a share. I would be more inclined to go with the trend and stay short this market. The original Trade Triangle sell signal for this stock came on 7/6/15 at $69.13. Akamai closed on Monday evening at $40.98. Continue reading "Can Star Wars Save Disney Or Will ESPN Sink The Ship?"