Marin Katusa: Follow the Good Guys in Mining

The most valuable resource in a mining company is often the people. Good management can attract the right investors and add value regardless of the market. In this interview with The Gold Report, Marin Katusa, founder of Katusa Research, shares his litmus test for which mining companies are worth his hard-won dollars and which ones he is avoiding for the foreseeable future.

Gold vs. US Dollar YTD Chart

The Gold Report: You seem much more positive about gold right now than when we talked in June. Based on the chart you have on Katusa Research of the U.S. dollar versus gold and in the wake of the Federal Reserve's inaction at its last meeting, what's your thesis for gold for the rest of 2015?

Marin Katusa: As I said in the spring, I don't see the Fed raising rates this year. Using some simple game theory, for the Fed not to raise rates is the best decision. I still believe that. Gold has fared well compared to the price of the U.S. dollar, better than any other hard commodity. Gold is holding its own. The reality is, because the commodity markets are down, very little capital is being invested to replace the production of gold.

In the long run, I'm very bullish on gold. It's something I'm paying very close attention to through my fund. We've started writing checks on assets that I believe are very cheap and well priced in today's currency commodity markets and that I believe a major will want in its portfolio in a few years. Gold is the currency of kings and silver is the currency of gentlemen; it always has been, and always will be. When you see living legends such as Stanley Druckenmiller and well-known successful fund managers plowing hundreds of millions of dollars into gold, it's obvious gold is appealing at these prices.

TGR: Will the power of gold help the majors or the juniors more? Continue reading "Marin Katusa: Follow the Good Guys in Mining"

Gold Update: Space Mission Aborted, Rescue Landing Is Ahead

Aibek Burabayev - INO.com Contributor - Metals


One of our regular readers was among the few who openly rejected the idea of Gold’s reversal to the upside, he sees a lower bottom for the metal.

So let’s see why I changed my mind and now think that we are not going to rocket higher soon. Below is my previous post’s daily chart. I've added remarks to the chart to show what went wrong.

Gold Daily: Post-Mortem

Daily Gold Chart FOREX:XAUUSDO
Chart courtesy of tradingview.com

I supposed that after we received the first bull confirmation of higher lows, we can fly higher at a distance of the 1.618 Fibonacci ratio in the green CD segment. One can notice that we hit a new high last Thursday around the $1192 level. So why should we cancel the bullish scenario now? Continue reading "Gold Update: Space Mission Aborted, Rescue Landing Is Ahead"

Gold Update: Bulls Have The First Confirmation

Aibek Burabayev - INO.com Contributor - Metals


One month ago I dared to call my Gold update "Major reversal," but I have enough reason for that. Today I prepared a short term daily chart with the focus being on the first bullish move and its correction.

GOLD (FOREX:XAUUSDO)
Chart courtesy of Tradingview.com

Like a tree starting from a sprout, the new trend starts from the first counter trend move that has its threshold at the end of July. Gold's price has gained a weighty 9% (almost $100) in one month and has stalled at the $1170 level ahead of resistance. The gold market has been treading water within the 1077/1110 range for two weeks in a row and it looked like another consolidation was going to happen before the new drop down. But, surprisingly the price broke the upper bound and quickly cut through the $1100 level. It then had a small four-day break before it made the final jump to the $1170 level. This is the first serious counter trend move which I have labeled as the large green AB segment. Continue reading "Gold Update: Bulls Have The First Confirmation"

It's Not Over…

I believe that the "dead cat bounce" I discussed last week has occurred with the market action seen late last week. Many of the major indices have rallied back to their Fibonacci resistance levels which should hold the markets' upward momentum, at least in the short term.

If you're not familiar with our Fibonacci tool, you can learn about it right here.

Another big negative for the markets is that many of the world indices had their worst month in three years. Unless there is a miracle today, it would appear as though the month of August is going to go into the minus column for the Dow, S&P 500 and NASDAQ.

There is an old trading maxim which you may have heard, "don't try to catch a falling knife," that should be every investors' mantra for September.

One of the problems overhanging the market right now has to be the Fed and if they are going to raise interest rates in September. This uncertainty is not a good thing for the market and it would appear as though the Fed and the rest of the Central Banks are pretty much out of bullets in terms of helping the economy and the markets. Continue reading "It's Not Over…"

Gold Ratios: Gold Is A Top Killer When You Need Safety

Aibek Burabayev - INO.com Contributor - Metals


Gold/Silver Ratio: "Shines Bright Like A Diamond."

Chart 1: Gold/Silver Ratio Monthly

FOREX:XAUUSDO/XAGUSDO
Chart courtesy of TradingView.com

Last December I had written my first post with quite an ambitious target for this ratio at the 109oz level as a possible outcome of a very rare diamond reversal pattern (highlighted in blue lines and the target is highlighted in blue horizontal dashed line). At that time the ratio was at the 72oz level and it has advanced 11% now to the 80oz level. Continue reading "Gold Ratios: Gold Is A Top Killer When You Need Safety"