Disney - Riding The Post Pandemic Consumer Wave

Disney (DIS) is in the sweet spot to capitalize on the pent-up post-pandemic consumer wave of travel and spending. Disney rolled out its wildly successful array of streaming initiatives that catered to the stay-at-home economy during the pandemic. These streaming efforts have transformed Disney's business model, which will be further bolstered by its legacy businesses as the prospects of the world economy continue to improve and reopen. Taken together, Disney is set to benefit across the board with its streaming initiatives firing on all cylinders and theme parks coming back online. The company has been posting phenomenal streaming numbers that have negated the negative COVID-19 impact on its theme parks. This streaming-specific narrative will change as the theme park revenue comes back online and flows into the company's earnings. As a result, Disney presents a compelling buy for long-term investors as its legacy business segments get back on track in the latter part of 2021 in conjunction with its wildly successful streaming initiatives.

Durable Streaming Revenue and Theme Parks

Disney has forecasted that its Disney+ streaming platform will have up to 260 million subscribers by 2040. Even more, advertising revenue for the upcoming fall television season rose by "double-digits" from the levels of 2019 before the global pandemic, per Bob Chapek. As a result, about 40% of sales during the "upfront" sales period went to streaming or digital ads, Chapek said at Credit Suisse's virtual Communications Conference. Continue reading "Disney - Riding The Post Pandemic Consumer Wave"

Dollar Struggles, Gold Consolidates; Oil To Triple Digits?

The U.S. dollar index (DXY) finally entered the anticipated corrective phase as I called for it last month.

US Dollar Index

The confirmation came with the breakup of a gray resistance. The structure is not as sharp as I expected as the price is still below the Fibonacci retracement zone. All spikes are still around the initial breakout peak, around 90.5. Continue reading "Dollar Struggles, Gold Consolidates; Oil To Triple Digits?"

Is Taper Talk About to Begin?

According to the minutes of the Fed's last meeting in April, "a number of participants suggested that if the economy continued to make rapid progress toward the committee's goals, it might be appropriate at some point in upcoming meetings to begin discussing a plan for adjusting the pace of asset purchases."

Is this week's meeting the start of that discussion? We'll find out Wednesday afternoon at 2:00 PM EST.

The announcement following the April meeting reiterated the Fed's stance that it "will aim to achieve inflation moderately above 2% for some time so that inflation averages 2% over time and longer-term inflation expectations remain well-anchored at 2%." As we know, Fed officials have maintained that the recent surge in inflation well above that level is only "transitory," although they have eased off that insistence over the past month.

Last week's consumer price index report for May should give them a lot to think about this week. Continue reading "Is Taper Talk About to Begin?"

Weekly Stock Market Forecast

This week we have a stock market forecast for the week of 6/13/21 from our friend Bo Yoder of the Market Forecasting Academy. Be sure to leave a comment and let us know what you think!

The S&P 500 (SPY)

SPY Daily Chart - Stock Market Forecast

It feels like a waste of time to even bother doing analysis on the S&P 500 (analyzed here using SPY) this week. This “dead and drifting” market behavior often precedes a big increase in volatility, and my forecasting tools continue to show that this bullish move up is unsponsored and likely to fail. Continue reading "Weekly Stock Market Forecast"

Take A Look At Cosmos Now!

I tell you, I couldn’t be more excited about our next cryptocurrency.

In fact, Cosmos (ATOM) has some of the coolest features that the crypto world has ever seen.

And if you dig a bit deeper, you’ll discover that Cosmos’s real-world applications mean its price is likely headed much, much higher.

But before we get started, if you’re looking for a good primer on cryptocurrencies and blockchain, make sure to check out what is cryptocurrency anyway and why cryptocurrency and blockchain will transform our lives.

Now, you don’t need to wade through those articles to get your head around this one. But if you like to learn about the nuts and bolts of crypto, those two articles are a good place to start. Continue reading "Take A Look At Cosmos Now!"