This Stock Could Feed Profits Into Your Portfolio

Daniel Cross - INO.com Contributor - Equities


Long-term value investors understand that truly profitable trends can take time to build up. Stock market sectors wax and wane with the economy and flow along the curvature of the business cycle, but others don't necessarily obey the same rules.

There's an old saying by Mark Twain, “buy land – it's the one thing they’re not making any more of.” Value investors can take it one step further, though. Arable land is limited, and the global population is growing. That makes food production a critical industry that will continue to be relevant regardless of economic direction.

Low oil prices translate into higher consumer spending which benefits food production companies as well. As a defensive non-cyclical industry, demand stays relatively constant regardless of how the economy is performing.

A rising tide lifts all boats, and the food industry is getting quite a lift lately. Several companies have raised guidance for the next quarter, and a number of analysts have upgraded the industry's outlook going forward. Continue reading "This Stock Could Feed Profits Into Your Portfolio"

Pendulum Experiment Snapshot: Promising Progress

Aibek Burabayev - INO.com Contributor - Metals


Last November I brought an experiment to your attention based purely on the laws of physics. I called it the "Pendulum experiment." The idea of it was to pick the strongest and the weakest asset by performance in 2015 and to check if they will move back like a pendulum and exchange their performance position relative to each other – the weakest will become stronger, the strongest will become weaker.

Just to refresh your memory: the Nikkei index was the top performer and Palladium was the weakest metal (YTD November 2015). I want to express my gratitude for the active participation in voting; the results are in the graph below.

Chart 1. Nikkei vs. Palladium Voting Results:

Poll Results INO.com
Poll results courtesy of INO.com

The odds were in favor of Palladium with a margin of 5 votes (8%). It was almost a split even bet and we have another couple of months to see the final results. Now let us check the current progress of the assets as we passed the halftime period. Continue reading "Pendulum Experiment Snapshot: Promising Progress"

A Value Stock That's Out Of This World

Daniel Cross - INO.com Contributor - Equities


Value investors know that the long game is important when picking a stock. Short term gains fluctuate, but solid fundamentals mean that a company will outperform over the long-term regardless of temporary ups and downs in the market.

A few decades ago the field of technology was in its infancy and the computer space was considered highly risky and volatile. Of course, anyone who bought into companies like Apple or Intel back then are certainly reaping the rewards today.

Technology is still an investor's best bet for finding the next breakout industry. Right now IoT (Internet of Things) is the frontrunner with advances being made in data storage, infrastructure, and other forms of "smart" tech. Big data stocks and chipmakers have already seen big gains in the past couple of years and should continue to thrive. But there's another industry that looks very much like computers did back in the late 70's and early 80's – spaceflight.

The introduction of commercial space agencies is brand new. Richard Branson helped kick off the new space race with his Virgin Galactic company and now Elon Musk and Jeff Bezos have joined in with their SpaceX and Blue Horizons companies.

While still privately owned entities, there are still ways for investors to hop aboard this exciting new enterprise. Satellite telecommunications hasn't been an industry in focus for Wall Street analysts, but rapidly growing interest in spaceflight and space-related technology means that these companies may be about to enter a new bullish environment that could last decades. Continue reading "A Value Stock That's Out Of This World"

All Aboard The Gold Train

Yesterday, the Trade Triangles issued a green weekly Trade Triangle for gold. Gold (FOREX:XAUUSDO) now has three green Trade Triangles indicating that it's ready for the next upward leg in this long-term bull market.

As I have pointed out before, this quarter is the highest-rated quarter with an 83% success rate for gold trades using the Trade Triangles. Let me just be clear that this does not mean that this particular trade is guaranteed to be successful, but the odds are heavily in your favor.

I've added two charts below, a daily chart and a quarterly chart to illustrate the last time gold was in a prolonged bull market. That bull market started in Q1 of 2009 and continued for 11 quarters ending in April 2011. On the quarterly chart, you will see that every quarter for those 11 quarters the market closed higher than the previous quarter. If that same scenario plays out again, gold has 9 quarters to go.

Quarterly Chart of Gold (FOREX:XAUUSDO)

Key To Quarterly Chart

1) The start of the 11-quarter bull market
2) The RSI indicator moves to its highest levels in 3 years
3) Gold is 2 quarters into a long-term bull market

While the quarterly chart gives us a view of the big picture of how gold has acted in the past, the daily chart shows you how to use the Trade Triangles. For intermediate-term trading, you use the weekly Trade Triangle, which we just had a signal with yesterday, as the trend indicator and the daily Trade Triangle for exit and entry signals. If you are a long-term trader, then you want to rely on the monthly Trade Triangle, which has been positive for quite some time. Continue reading "All Aboard The Gold Train"

Gold And Oil Breakout: We Can Benefit!

Aibek Burabayev - INO.com Contributor - Metals


In my earlier posts I showed you how gold and crude oil broke out of their trends. Gold moved higher amid an oil break down. The simplest trade here is the purchase of gold on the dip and the sale of oil on pullbacks. Today I want to share with you some other options. We can use oil related currencies instead of oil as they tend to lag and overreact to oil moves.

Chart 1. Gold Vs. Russian Ruble Weekly: Say Hi To A New High!

Gold Vs. Russian Ruble Weekly Chart
Chart courtesy of tradingview.com

The currency of the world largest country stopped strengthening only last Friday despite that oil reversed much earlier. I call this an overreaction of the currency to the oil move. I guess it’s all about the mechanical reaction of retail USDRUB sellers to the ruble and oil strength which was gone long before they started to act. Usually, non-professional players tend to sell bottoms and buy tops on market panic. Another good thing in this market is that while the ruble was strengthening gold pulled back down, giving potential buyers extra bonuses (falling gold + overreacting ruble).

The Gold/RUB pair has been in an uptrend for 2 years. At the start of 2016 the market it broke out of the triangle above the RUB 78K level and then rapidly moved higher. It topped beyond 2015 high at RUB 101,858 level in February. Continue reading "Gold And Oil Breakout: We Can Benefit!"