Precious Metals: Bullish Only

The king currency and the precious metals move amazingly in line with the previous forecasts. As time goes by, we can see the path clearer these days, and therefore I kept only the one option for each instrument to emerge.

Let us start this post with the updated daily chart of the U.S. dollar index (DXY), aka "King," as it keeps a strong influence on the precious metals.

precious metals

The selling pressure remains relatively strong in the dollar index. The expected pullback transformed into a minor sideways consolidation. It was not deep, as it could not retest the resistance. The price already broke below the consolidation valley in 93.3, and the RSI indicator confirmed that move down sinking below the crucial 50 level. This was one reason to think that we should now expect only the bullish option in the precious metals. Continue reading "Precious Metals: Bullish Only"

Will Gold Outshine Silver?

The collective mind of the Blog's readers has proved to be very powerful as the majority of you guessed it right last time, that the U.S. dollar index (DXY) will reverse down. My assumption that precious metals will start to grow also played out accurately so far, and one could get the clue of DXY reversal from the assumption mentioned above.

In this update, I added minor annotations for fine-tuning previous charts as I switched to a lower time frame of 4-hour. The final chart below will show you the background for the title of this post. Let us start with the DXY 4-hour chart.

Dollar Index

The market indeed saw that orange trendline resistance as the price reversed right at that point. The RSI turned bearish now as it broke below the crucial level of 50. The indicator raises its head together with the price, which could throwback to retest the resistance. The former could briefly overthrow the crucial level, and then it should drop below it again to confirm the Dollar's further weakness. Continue reading "Will Gold Outshine Silver?"

Gold & Silver: The King Reins In

Almost all targets, which were set in the previous post, were reached last week except for the gold. I think the central banks bought the dip of the gold price, as the silver was lack of such strong support.

The majority of readers guessed it right as the US dollar index (DXY), aka “The King,” exceeded the target and reached the trendline resistance that I have mentioned at the beginning of the month. It is time for updates, and “The King” will open the series of charts.

The DXY daily chart is the first.

Gold Silver

It is interesting to see how from time to time, the market catches traders in a “make it or break it” situation right at the end of the trading week, keeping their heads spinning with almost paranoiac thoughts – “I should keep the profitable position Vs. I should book the profit”. It is even worse this time as usually Friday is the “book the profit and relax” day, but the price just stalled on the trendline resistance; hence not much of the selling to cover was there. Continue reading "Gold & Silver: The King Reins In"

Gold & Silver: Too Good To Be True?

The prices of gold and silver remained between triggers last week as volatility left the market, and the “pulse” on the chart is hardly beating. It is time to challenge our bullish view, as it could be “too good to be true.”

Let us imagine if the market is building a more complex correction and another downward move is underway. I put that scenario in the alternative charts for gold and silver below. Before we jump in precious metals, I would like to share with you an updated US dollar index (DXY) 4-hour chart.

dollar

The DXY goes very well with my expectations as the outlined structure keeps intact, and we got a larger consolidation here with a second leg down underway. It could dip even lower to retest the former resistance again in 92.4 area. That will cut the target for the pending CD segment either to 94.5 from the earlier aim of 94.6. Continue reading "Gold & Silver: Too Good To Be True?"

What's Next For The Dollar, Gold And Silver?

We have an interesting situation in the market as the strength of inversely correlated instrument didn’t push the other asset price down. Such things happen, and I showed you in the past that the correlation itself is not a dogma. The market flows are driven by investors’ sentiment, which in turn is based on subjective judging.

Let’s see the updated charts below, and the US dollar index (DXY) will be the first.

Dollar

The votes under my previous post about the next move for DXY were split evenly between “break up” and “another drop” options. It’s quite a natural outcome as we never know for sure if a breakout would happen or not. The extreme bullish divergence on the daily RSI finally enforced the price to break up the red resistance. Continue reading "What's Next For The Dollar, Gold And Silver?"